At coffee, this morning, Dr. J. asked his fellow Gormogons their predictions for election day:
GorT chimed in first: “I think the Republicans will pick up about seven seats in the Senate putting them at 52. I think the GOP will have a harder time with the gubernatorial races.”
The Czar stared into his absinthe and laudanum laced tea, shuddered and said, “I’m loathe to predict based on 2012, but GorT has it right.”
Confucius, the Œcumenical Volgi, the notorious ŒV, was focused on Governor Walker’s chances saying, “Walker wins narrowly in Wisconsin – or major voteer fraud is uncovered next year and everyone shrugs.
‘Puter took a safe bet to the bank and went out on a limb, “The Democrats win in New York. I’m going with 53 Republicans in the Senate, holding their own at state level.
The Mandarin stared at Dr. J., muttered something about the irrelevance of democracy once he’s in charge…handing him this leaflet:
At this point, the Czar chimed in again, reminding Dr. J. that it’s gauche to poll the group without prognosticating himself. He concurred with the Volgi regarding the Walker race, adding that a loss in WI would free him up to run for President in 2016.
At this point Dr. J. made his prediction. The D’s are locks for IL, MI, MN, NJ, NM, OR, and VA. The R’s will win MS, SD, WV, AR, and KY. That gets us to 45D and 47 R. That leaves 8 toss up states. CO, GA, IA, LA will go Republican. AK, KS, NH, NC go Democrat. That gets us to 51-49 Republicans.
Tennessee will stay very red with all 9 congressmen being reelected (7R/2D), and Senator Alexander (RINO, 3 miles down the road) Governor Haslan will be easily reelected. More importantly is how the four constitutional amendments will go.
Amendment 1 puts abortion laws back in the hands of the legislators. Given that three extreme liberal supreme court judges survived recall, this amendment will fail due to language regarding endangerment to the mother’s life. Amendment 2 makes it such that the governor can appoint judges subject to confirmation by the state assembly. It’s essentially what’s being done extralegally in Tennessee as Tennesseans are supposed to elect justices. It is contentious with strange bedfellows for and against it. The third amendment pretty much drives a stake into the heart of the income tax. It will pass provided that the amendments get enough votes for/against relative to the votes cast in the governor’s race. The last vote permits certain groups (501(c)(3) and (c)(19)) to have lotteries. No one cares about this one.
So there you have it, your Gormogon’s predictions. Share them or trade them with friends!