Guest Post: Island Dweller on Israel Pre-Emption

The Czar is still so irate and humorless with the electorate that he is still willing to yield the floor. Today’s essay has once again been contributed by long-time minion Island Dweller.

Dread and awful Czar:
Being a life member of the Air Force Association, I am a recipient of their periodic magazine. On page 51 of the November, 2012, issue is a quote attributed to Mr. Ephraim Asculai, senior research fellow at Tel Aviv University’s Institute for National Security Studies, which was first published in “Aviation Week” magazine’s October 1, 2012 issue:

There will likely be military action, probably after the US elections, with or without the help of the US. [Israel fears that the] US will accept [political] containment of Iran despite it having nuclear weapons. That’s not a good choice in the case of Iran because the regime is very unpredictable. I believe Obama when he says he won’t allow Iranian nuclear weapons, but the US red line is an actual break-out. But will they have that information? You can find a lot of cases when intelligence didn’t provide the answer in time.

Prudence dictates the action should be taken sooner rather than later if intelligence has erred in their assessments and the Iranian nuclear program is farther along than estimated. What he didn’t add is there are other times when the intelligence is ignored by wishful thinkers. Israel learned that the hard way in 1973.

This man in all likelihood has the ear of the Israeli government. If he says there will likely be military action, he isn’t speaking for the mullahs. Dear Leader’s reelection now makes action sooner rather than later a virtual certainty. Since Israel’s leaders now can’t be certain the POTUS would keep advance notification of an Israeli strike from the hostile power(s), this also means the Israeli action will now be taken without prior notification by Israel to the United States. Who can blame them? My educated guess is we’ll hear about it first on CNN or Fox, just like the White House will.

Island Dweller

Scripsit Island Dweller

About The Czar of Muscovy

Божію Поспѣшествующею Милостію Мы, Дима Грозный Императоръ и Самодержецъ Всероссiйскiй, цѣсарь Московскiй. The Czar was born in the steppes of Russia in 1267, and was cheated out of total control of all Russia by upon the death of Boris Mikhailovich, who replaced Alexander Yaroslav Nevsky in 1263. However, in 1283, our Czar was passed over due to a clerical error and the rule of all Russia went to his second cousin Daniil (Даниил Александрович), whom Czar still resents. As a half-hearted apology, the Czar was awarded control over Muscovy, inconveniently located 5,000 miles away just outside Chicago. He now spends his time seething about this and writing about other stuff that bothers him.