Sunday, July 31, 2011

Just take a little off the top, please...

You may recall Dr. J. writing in a few months back, here, here, and here.

By way of review, Lloyd Schofield petitioned to get a vote to ban male circumcision on the 2011 election day ballot in San Francisco. At that point, we were all left hanging until election day to see how the story would be resolved.

In the interval there was an Anti-Semitic comic published on behalf of the circumcision ban in which 'Foreskin Man,' a rather Aryan superhero does battle with a blood-thirsty 'Monster Mohel." Dr. J. found the propaganda horribly offensive to his delicate sensibilities. Dr. J. would take you an International Business Times article, but it can be found easily, and Dr. J. doesn't like to link to anti-Semitic imagery, as he is about as pro-Semitic as Goy can be.

Now that you're up to date on the issues...>THUD!<

That is the sound of the other shoe dropping. Judge Loretta M. Giorgi's shoe, that is...

The LA Times reports that Judge Giorgi, of SF County Superior Court ordered the measure struck from the ballot.

There were two reasons for this. First is that only the state can regulate medical procedures, and male circumcision is 'widely practiced.' Second is that the ban would violate freedom of religion because Muslims and Jews practice circumcision as part of their religious tenants.

Mr. Schofield reacted thus: "This to us is an extraordinarily preemptive and expensive action before the citizens of San Francisco even got to vote." We shall see if he appeals...and how that turns out.

Dr. J. gives kudos to Judge Giorgi for making the right decision. Male Circumcision has clear medical benefits that are at least at equipoise with leaving the foreskin intact. Dr. J. believes that there is a little more benefit to male circumcision in infancy than not, but respects the opinions of those who choose otherwise for their sons. This is why the American Association of Pediatrics has remained neutral on the practice above and beyond for religious reasons. This is a victory for the doctor-patient relationship, parental rights and religious freedom, and in California, no less!


Missionary Mail...

Your Mandarin received this message from operative HRE who is currently stationed in the hinterlands...

Dear Mr. Mandyrin,

I read your post on the mission at your parish, and I have to agree with your analysis 100%. Unfortunately for the people of a parish, missions are a mixed bag- I've had some that were great, some that were boring, and at least a couple that were similar to yours in the parishes I have experienced. I remember one in particular from being a deacon where the friar spoke for about 20 minutes at the vigil Mass. The pastor spoke to him about it and asked him to pare it down (because it was boring as hell, truthfully). So, the next morning he spoke for 21 or so minutes at one Mass and about 25 at the other. I think this (like your mission priest's opinions) really meant that less money was given- people (definitely including me) just wanted it to be over, and usually they care about the missions.

Also, the people who go around all the time and give those talks are too often out of touch with reality. They get wrapped up in their own ideas and their confirmation bias goes haywire, until they think people want to hear that crap about capitalism and such (when that's likely to be just the Paulist Center in Chicago and their ilk) instead of how their dollars will go directly to feeding people in their souls and bodies. This also gives an unfortunate view of priests, which is something most Catholics don't want, but these priests just seem to want to shoot themselves right in their feet.

I hope you are able to chat about that mission with your fellow parishoners, and I hope they enjoy your analysis, because it's exactly right. Thanks for the great posts!

God Bless,

Operative HRE


Operative HRE your Mandarin is grateful for your kind words.

Mission Impossible...

Each summer all parishes in the Chicago Archdiocese are asked to welcome a person representing a particular religious order that engages in missionary work. Today the guest speaker at the parish your Mandarin attends was Fr. Bob, O.S.A. from the Augustinian Community.

Things started off well enough with Fr. Bob describing the work that the Augustinians had performed in Peru since the early 1960’s. Fr. Bob then reminded us that there would be a second collection after communion and requested that everyone give what they could to further support the Augustinians’ efforts in Peru and elsewhere throughout the world.

Now had Fr. Bob stopped there you Mandarin would have gladly dropped a few dollars in the basket when it came around. But Fr. Bob felt it necessary to continue on and explain to your Mandarin and his fellow parishioners how world hunger could be eliminated right now if it were not for the greedy capitalist that put profit before human life. To paraphrase Fr. Bob, “Those greedy capitalist in America and Europe don’t care about the starving people in Africa since they are so far away and to care would get in the way of their profits.”

Pardon me Fr. Bob and the rest of the social justice/progressive/socialist crowd but your Mandarin has some bad news for you. If it were not for capitalism your Mandarin wouldn’t have the money to donate to further your missionary work. Also if it were not for capitalism it wouldn’t just be the people in Africa that were starving. What most in the social justice/progressive/socialist crowd either fail to realize, willfully ignore, or just outright don’t care about is the fact that time and time again it has been proven that the capitalist system improves the lives of all that participate in it.

Does capitalism produce the same results for everyone, no it does not. Is this a bad thing? Your Mandarin’s opinion is that it is not. Only in the drug and fantasy addled mind of the progressive does everyone deserve an equal outcome. The truth of the matter is that by trying to make everyone equal you punish those that would strive to do more. This removes the incentive for people to work hard which eventually leads to a decrease in productivity and available “capital” to go around.

He then went on to further his argument by discussing genetically modified seeds and again how these could save Africa if those greedy capitalist would just give them away instead of charging for them. The last time your Mandarin looked into the subject of genetically modified crops most African nations would not allow them to be imported, nor would they accept genetically modified seeds for planting. The majority of this bias against genetically modified food in Africa comes from a lack of scientific knowledge, tribal superstitions, and religious fears (some Muslims believe that genetically modified foods are a Zionist plot to kill them).

Fr. Bob also lamented the situation in Somalia and how again capitalism was at the root of the starvation crisis there. I guess the fact that the government has collapsed and the place is overrun by Islamic extremist, warlords, and pirates that steal the food that is there and then make it impossible for other countries to send relief without deploying their military to do it has no impact on the situation.

Judging by the looks on the faces of the other parishioners in church today, your Mandarin suspects that he was not the only one who was put off by Fr. Bob’s missionary appeal.

More Big Guy Humor

Uncle Jay, again with the great math jokes:



Also, this:



Cracks up my kids.

Mailbag: Old and Young

Strangest email of the day:
Oh great, dreaded and most powerful Czar of all Muscovies,

The Japanese did an entire series of battleship vs. aliens. Starblazers as it is known in English chronicles the adventures of the crew of the re-born battleship Yamato. In the humble opinion of you more humble servant, it is one of the best anime series ever.

Very Respectfully,
LittleRed1
Concerningly, the day is still young.

We do know there is just the one Muscovy, right?

Speaking of young, Uncle Jay writes in:
Isn’t this the drain plug y’all installed on the ocean floor between Finland and Sweden?

Better warn them not to screw with it.

TBG
Huh. Well, the Czar went up on the Castle roof and found both GorT and Mandarin up there, dropping rocks onto the windshield of cars parked in the guest lot. He asked them about this, and indeed the Mandarin knew all about it.

You are indeed exactly correct; the Czar knew nothing about a drain plug, but indeed this was put in just in case we ever needed to drain the Atlantic Ocean into the Pacific Ocean (remember, this was before the Panama Canal was built). Even Mandy had pretty much forgotten all about it. So the Czar learned something today as well!

If they are going to screw with it, they better screw it righty-tighty!

Saturday, July 30, 2011

This Movie Really Sucks

The offensively accurate Brendan at Tyler Durden shares something in common with the Czar: a total loathing for celebrities, coupled with Hollywood’s inexplicable idolatry for people who couldn’t figure out where the Panama Canal was located.

Most of his stuff, by the way, is not at all safe for work. It probably isn’t safe for home viewing, either, but you can blame the obscenity of popular culture for that. But day after day he totally nails its stupidity. He has outdone even himself with this scathing review of the forthcoming movie Battleship:
Instead of making a World War II movie about battleships, maybe one about Leyte Gulf, the largest naval battle in the history of the world, which had like 30 battleships in it, they made this.

A modern day battleship movie. With aliens.

Um, just in case you’re a girl, the US Navy hasn’t had a battleship in its fleet for like 20 years. The big money shot at the end? [A]n Iowa class battleship. We don’t have those anymore. Battleships aren’t even listed on the Navys inventory anymore. They were torn apart for scrap metal. 5 or 6 are still around as memorials, but they couldn’t fire any more than they could have a giant helicopter blade come out of the top and fly away.
He lacks high hopes for this movie, as does the Czar. The Czar probably would have mentioned this monumental mistaken premise as well, but thinks Brendan got it perfectly phrased.

Wait'll You See The Chimney Sweeps

The Gormogons are thinking of rebooting the Mary Poppins franchise. Whattaya think of this as our first trailer?


H/T to Jonah Goldberg.

Friday, July 29, 2011

Iowahawk’s “Sixteen Tons”

Mailbag - Smoke and Mirrors Edition

Gentle Readers,

Gormogon Operative BG writes in on a stack of $2 bills regarding the Debt Ceiling:

Illustrious Gormogons -

There's something I don't understand about this "one dollar of spending reductions for one dollar of debt ceiling hike" business. I could ask my congressman, but he's an imbecile who doesn't know anything, or our president, who only pretends to know everything. Or I could ask The Gormogons, who I find know more than I do about almost everything.

I don't know how the final numbers will shake out, but as of right now, the competing House and Senate versions both claim they'll increase the debt ceiling by $2 trillion or so, in exchange for $2 trillion or so in spending cuts over the next ten years. The biggest sticking point seems to be whether it will be a short-term increase (six months or so) or long-term (just past the next election).

Either way, we're going to be facing another debt ceiling debate by December next year. So the ceiling increase is good for only about 18 months, tops.

But the proposed spending cuts are spread out over ten years. Presumably, we'll be having this same argument next year or early 2013.

My questions:

1) What spending do they think they're going to cut in 2013 in exchange for the 2013 debt ceiling increase?
2) Why do they think that spending can't be cut today, but they'll be able to cut it in 2013?
3) The proposed cuts that are being spread out over the next ten years - will they be cuts compared to what was spent this year? Or will the cuts that they're looking to schedule in, say 2018, be cuts compared to whatever ridiculous amount was spent in 2017? In other words, if, say, the EPA's budget this year is $40 billion, and it's scheduled to get cut $10 billion in 2018, will its budget be reduced to $30 billion in 2018? Or will it be reduced $10 billion from the $65 billion it had meanwhile increased over the previous five years? I guess what I'm asking is, what is the baseline?
4) And aren't all these proposals for cuts ten years from now a pointless, phony exercise, since nothing that Congress does today is binding on any future Congress?

Frankly, I'm thinking more and more that the debt ceiling shouldn't be raised at all, and the government be forced to figure out how to scrape by on $200 billion a month. Let President Obama order all department and agency heads to figure out where they can save 5% of this year's budget, and let each agency head tell every executive and manager, all the way down to the section chiefs who manage fifteen employees, that they now have five percent less money than they thought they had, and as good managers, they have to figure out where to save that money or get fired.

And don't tell me there's a single office anywhere in the U.S. government that can't trim its sails by five percent.

--
BG,

Your observations, and the rhetorical questions are spot on. The Tea Party Coalition knows this, and they want to apply as much pressure as they can on both the Republican Party leadership and the Democrats so as to insure that they get their way.

I've stated in the past that the Progressives cannot be reasoned with. They have a goal and they will not deviate. President Obama, for example, extended the current tax rates (Dr. J. refuse to call them Bush Tax Cuts™) only to talk about tax increases 7 months and zero recovery later. He is a man that doesn't give up, that doesn't blink.

The Republicans have a long and storied history of blinking. Even St. Ronald Reagan (Ronaldus Magnus) blinked more than once. The most egregious example is when he traded $1 in tax hikes for $3 in spending cuts that never materialized. He learned from that mistake.

But, look what Tea Party so-called intransigence has gotten us: Real spending cuts, not to be confused with decreases in the rate of increase type cuts, albeit 10¢/year or so for every $1 increase in the debt ceiling. Also, IF Boehner wins, more cuts will come before the election. No commensurate balanced and reasonable tax increases (tongue firmly in cheek saying that) from Harry Reid. So, truth be told, the paradigm has shifted in D.C., much to President Obama's chagrin.

Regarding Government spending there is a ton of waste. First, departments are encouraged to spend all of their money so they can justify as much or more next fiscal year. It's feed forward, and promotes a waste mentality.

Dr. J. spent some of his time as a resident rotating at University affliated VA hospitals. There are plenty of employees that could be let go, but aren't due to union rules. There is a lot of silly paperwork and regulations that waste time and money. In addition the system doesn't always work together smoothly. Pharmacy gets evaluated on how well it comes in within budget and how few non-formulary requests it permits. The clinic gets evaluated similarly (% patients at goal with cholesterol for example). So, if a patient can't get their cholesterol to goal because they are being denied a bump up from 80 mg Zocor to 20 mg of Crestor (a more potent cholesterol medication), the clinic gets dinged for not being compliant with guidelines. Sadly its a no win for the director of that hospital as he gets evaluated for both clinic and pharmacy performance with one performance measure robbing Peter to pay the other's Paul. Stuff like that drives Dr. J. crazy.

Dr. J. has not seen the specifics regarding how much of this is kabuki theatre and how much of the cuts are real cuts, but there is enough substantive cutting to have prior bills arrive DOA. As you recall with the final spending bills for the 2011 FY, there were a lot of faux cuts.

Thanks for writing in.

Best,
Dr. J

In a post script, he adds:

BTW, with regard to your question today, "Has the government ever provided a product or service that you wanted more than an Apple product?"

Yes, it has. Aircraft carriers. If you told me to choose which institution, the U.S. Department of Defense or Apple Computer
would have to vanish tomorrow, I'd say "bye-bye, Apple." Because if our military were to vanish, Apple, and a lot of other things I like, would soon follow.

BG, you got Dr. J. on that count! There hasn't been a better military in the history of the world than ours.

Pow, Zing, that's got to hurt!

This article gave Dr. J. a chuckle, especially the ending.

Apparently, the U.S. Treasury as of two days ago had a cash balance of $73.8 billion. By comparison, Apple Computer has a reserve of $76.2 billion.

The author, Matt Rosoff finishes with this closing flourish:

That's because Apple collects more money than it spends, while the U.S. government does not.

Apple stock closed yesterday at $391.82 a share.

Other than our nation's armed forces (who win the public vs. private faceoff with Blackwater Security by a parsec) (h/t Czar and operative BG), has the government ever provided a product or service that you wanted more than an Apple product?

Didn't think so.

Thursday, July 28, 2011

Paging George Orwell

From Slashdot earlier this week: "Massachusetts wants to establish a database with the information gathered by license plate scanners installed in police cars. The scanners will scan license plates of every car the police vehicle passes and transmit that information (along with the location) to a database that will be made available to various government agencies. The data wil be kept indefinitely."

This is on top of the Obama administration pushing for warrantless cell phone tracking and placing GPS tracking devices on citizens' cars.  But the cacophony from the likes of the NY Times and others who decried the NSA's terrorist wiretapping program (which Obama smartly continued) is at a low hum...one might even say cricket level.  Chirp.  Chirp.

Left-right-center

Hey, Czar, the problem is that “right-wing” is a really bad descriptor. It’s basically a pejorative, as you note, at this point for “bad people.” But even if we take it a bit more analytically, comparing the European right to the American right is almost apples and oranges. There are some points of agreement—like (at the moment) skepticism about mass immigration—among parts of both rights, but overall, there’s a lot of daylight.

The main point of divergence is that the American right is to some degree permanently anchored in eighteenth-century Anglo-Scottish Enlightenment liberalism, since that’s what “conservatives” eventually have to try and conserve, given it’s the foundational legal-political philosophy of the country. That said, there have been been plenty of big-government types theoretically on the right—Richard Nixon comes to mind—but again, it depends what you mean by “right.” On a continuum from socialist to libertarian, Nixon is leftward. In a scheme where it’s “socialist vs. non-socialist,” he’s on the “right.”

Breivik is on the European right in that he’s not a socialist. The mainstream Christian Democratic right in Europe are basically managerial statists with a more traditionalist cultural bent. The radical right tends to be fascist (which of course is way “left” on the socialist-to-libertarian continuum).

Breivik is a revolutionary, which is as unconservative as you can get. He grounds his views in a fantasy ideology rooted in an imaginary utopian past, rather than an imaginary utopian future like communists, so that reactionary reflex gets him put on “the right” over there, correctly or incorrectly depending on your model.

So as usual, the label is a function of a whole stack of underlying assumptions, and in this case it muddles rather than clarifies the political spectrum.

It’s a bit complex, and Confucius is just dashing this off before he runs, so please excuse whatever muddling of his own he’s doing.

ITZ 4 TEH CHIlDRUNZ!1!!eleventy!!1!

In the Boston Globe, we see yet another example of poor reporting, covering only one side of the story. You know, the side that supports the reporter's favored policy outcomes.

Ms. Kay Lazar writes about the growing number of underweight children showing up at emergency departments across the country, but specifically in Boston. In telling her story, she uses the example of single, unemployed mother of three Ms. Jannell Goode (apparently the "e" from the end of "Jannelle" migrated to the end of "Good"). Ms. Goode tells Ms. Lazar she struggles to keep her family fed on government benefits and private handouts.

Truly, if the article is factually accurate, it is a travesty that any child in our country of plenty is underweight. But let's look at some of the topics the article the author does not touch upon.

1. Ms. Lazar uses data from five cities (Boston, Baltimore, Little Rock, Minneapolis and Philadelphia) that appears to be provided by Children's HealthWatch (yes, it's really one word crammed together -- it's a hippie do-gooder convention), an advocacy group that would have nothing to advocate for if the problem it identified ceased to exist. Is the data provided biased or otherwise inaccurate? We don't know, because the author does not tell us. It is curious how incurious our reporter is.

2. Doctors are referring guardians of severely malnourished children to apparently on-staff nutritionists. There's nothing wrong with this in and of itself, but here are a couple of questions that went unasked. Do the doctors/hospitals benefit monetarily from the use of its nutritional clinics by the malnourished? Who is paying for the treatment? Don't you have a legal duty to report suspected child abuse? If so, why do you think that presentation of a severely malnourished child in a city where food is provided at no cost to the recipient is not prima facie evidence of child abuse at the hands of the guardian?

3. The author notes that advocates estimate there are tens of thousands of families in Massachusetts who are eligible for food stamps but are too put off by the paperwork to apply. The advocates then bemoan the cuts in funding that are causing workers hired expressly to seek out, find and enroll are being cut back. If you are too lazy or stupid to figure out how to get free food to feed your young children, you are too stupid or lazy to keep the aforementioned children. Sure, it's tough on folks to take their (neglected) children away from them, and expensive. But if you're really all about the best interests of the child, isn't the child better served by being in an environment where it is at least fed regularly, whether in foster care, adoption or a state institution? And if there really are the long term effects related to malnourishment you claim, isn't it cheaper in the long run to remove the child from that environment?

4. Massachusetts apparently has an Orwellian sounding Department of Transitional Assistance. To what state of being is the department assisting transition? Complete dependence on the government? How about we just call it what it is. Department of Wealth Redistribution? Department of Government Dependence? Or how about simply Department of Welfare.

Sometimes we learn more about a writer by what she doesn't write than by what she does write. This is one of those times.

Spin the Numbers

There is a graph making its way around the intrawebs from a NY Times article penned by a Ms. Teresa Tritch on July 23, 2011 entitled, "How the Deficit Got This Big" (go Google it yourself, I'm not citing it for reasons that will become clear below). The Gormogons conferred briefly and I decided to take a deeper look at the graph and accompanying article.

First, the entire thing is a big ideologically driven blame President Bush job which, to be certain, President Bush is not guiltless in our current economic situation but the article should be viewed as Ms. Tritch's opinion and not fact. Why? Well, start with the fact that it appears in the NY Times OPINION section. Far too many people take writings in OpEd pages as 100% factually correct and believe every single word and chart. Then oen should note that Ms. Tritch never once cites the data sources for her graphs. Not the CBO. Not the Treasury Department. No sources of data for the numbers on the two charts that accompany her opinion piece. And if one has to wonder about the ideological bent that she has, one only has to read the closing paragraph:
In future decades, when rising health costs with an aging population hit the budget in full force, deficits are projected to be far deeper than they are now. Effective health care reform, and a willingness to pay more taxes, will be the biggest factors in controlling those deficits.

A "willingness to pay more taxes"? Clearly, Ms. Tritch has a different understanding of economics. I applaud her for pointing out that the looming problem is one of demographics - particularly the retirement of the large Boomer generation and the smaller generations behind it. Let's examine a few more of her words in that paragraph: "effective health care reform" - I thought that's what the Health Care Reform Act (Obamacare) was? She docks President Obama with $152B of Health reform and entitlement changes...although I still question the numbers - more on that in a minute. Health care reform and higher taxes will not be the biggest factors in controlling the deficits. The largest single factor will be the economic health - measured conventionally as growth in GDP - of the country. Higher GDP equates to more revenue for governments (federal, state and local) without a change to the tax rates. Higher GDP means more jobs, more jobs means a higher tax base and now quod erat demonstrandum. See? No willingness to pay more taxes needed. Close behind job growth/GDP is entitlement reform. In FY11, government Health Care spending was $882B - largely made up of Medicare and Medicaid and Welfare programs added another $495.6B. Social Security was $748.4B. Defense spending was $768.2B (plus $141.4B towards veterans' benefits and another $54.2B in foreign military and economic aid that gets lumped into the Defense budget area). All of these numbers are from the GAO. So 55% of the federal budget goes to Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and other welfare and entitlement programs (and more recent analysis puts 2011 somewhere in the low 60s). Defense spending was only 20% of the budget (25% if you include the veterans and foreign aid). I think it should be clear that when the government is spending over half of its budget on these programs, that they might require some examination.

Continuing to look at the article - specifically this part:

...the Bush tax cuts have had a huge damaging effect. If all of them expired as scheduled at the end of 2012, future deficits would be cut by about half, to sustainable levels."

One it prompted with the question that 'Puter raised around the Gormogon's kitchen table: "Each of the policies attributed to Bush has actually been adopted by Obama and the then-Dem controlled House and Senate. Medicare Part D, Iraq/Afghanistan wars, Bush tax cuts, etc. If they were so awful, why didn't Obama and the Dems end them when they had nearly insurmountable majorities? Not only did they not end them, except for the tax cuts [maybe], there was/is no serious discussion about ending any of them." Bueller? Bueller?

One could play the what-if question as well and wonder what damaging effect higher taxes may have had on the economy had the tax cuts expired. More taxes means higher revenue to the government, but likely means lower money to the individual. Less money to give to charities. Less money to invest and save (which in turn gets invested in companies that may use that to add jobs). Less money to spend on discretionary items (which in turn goes towards profits and salaries of other workers and companies, who pay taxes, etc.etc.). Quod erat demonstrandum. 

As far as the tax cuts it would be hard to measure the net effect - yes, the number cited measures the amount of potential lost revenue due to reduced tax rates but realize that they likely reversed a recession and 3 million jobs were added to the American economy over the next 7 years. Those are 3 million additional tax payers - taken simply at an average household income of roughly $50K (according to US Census and IRS data), the last year alone when all 3 million have been added to payrolls, that results in $21B of tax revenue. If we average the growth across the 7 years, it's close to $84B in additional tax revenue at the federal level. This is probably an underestimate and doesn't even touch the lame "created or saved" jobs label that the Obama Administration has attached to its Stimulus spending. See this article for more explanation. Obama elected to extend the Bush tax cuts, which has a cost if we're docking President Bush for it. We'll extrapolate the numbers for Bush across eight years - however, we're in a net jobs loss so we can't apply that savings to the cost, and estimate the 2009-2013 costs at $800B (it's roughly $200B per year).

Let's dive into some numbers for a minute. Ms. Tritch prices the Iraq & Afghanistan wars as contributing $1.469T to the deficit. Well, according to the CBO, the total cost of the wars (even into 2010 during Obama's administration) is $709B. A 107% error is probably acceptable to a NYT OpEd writer, though. Keep in mind, over the same period fo time (2003-2010), the United States spent $2.932T on Medicare alone. She continues to have numerical errors when she cites the cost of the Stimulus spending and stimulus tax cuts. The Stimulus spending was roughly $787B over the eight years with tax cuts/breaks that amount to around $218B. Revised estimates of the cost of Obamacare by the CBO and others have put the total cost at $1.13T through 2021. While that extends past Ms. Tritch's 8 year window for President Obama, it is clearly more than the $152B she has marked as the cost of healthcare reform. It's also worth looking at this chart. According to President Obama's own budget, he proposes $404B in non-defense discretionary spending increases - on top of the previous year spending. And finally, the cost of the 2008 stimulus act has been put at $152B which leaves me wondering what the other $621B of "other changes" Ms. Tritch attributes to President Bush. How she accounts for $126B in savings, I'm not sure.

If we total that up, the graph looks a little different.


But, as we all learned in civics classes, the Congress has the power of the purse for the federal government. Yes, the president can influence spending strongly, but really the budget and spending is left to Congress. Let's re-look at Ms. Tritch's chart and instead of presidents, let's put the party in control of Congress for each fiscal year. Those with the "RD" close together are either a split control or the fiscal year blended across a change in power.

Finally, and maybe most telling that Ms. Tritch is basing things on inconsistent data sources, errorneous or biased data, or doesn't have a full graps of the federal budget issue, look at the beginning of the second chart. She reports not one but two fiscal years of surpluses. We've covered this before, but these surpluses simply did not exist when the full federal fiscal situation is considered.

When faced with charts and data like this one needs to approach it with a skeptical eye.

The Myth of Right-Wing Extremism

The Czar hates to play the blame game, and he would love to pin that reluctance on someone or something. But once again, we have to argue that the term “Right Wing” is not defined as “Anything the Left Wing hates about itself.” Another case in point is this Anders Breivik monster, who murdered so many people in Norway.

At first, everybody thought he was Muslim until he was caught. Then the world press tagged him as a Right Wing extremist because, well, he mentions Jesus or something on Facebook.

What the hell does that mean? Left wingers use Twitter? Anyway, most Right Wingers raised an eyebrow on this claim, just as we did on Jared Laughner, the gun-totin’ Tea Partier inspired by a Sarah Palin web graphic he never saw; well, he turned out to be an anti-Bush nutjob who was furious the Left kept shutting down his ability to speak. And we raised an eyebrow on Joe Stack, the Tea Partier who hated government so much he flew his plane into an IRS building; yeah, he wanted a radical stunt to lash out against the capitalism and felt the Reagan tax codes were a good place.

So the usual progression of the story is this: we hope the criminals aren’t terrorists (either because we fear they found a way to defeat our wobbly DHS or because it destroys the narrative that only Israel is bad). When we learn it was the act of a crazy person, the left declare him a right wing extremist while the right assumes he was just a crazy nutjob. When you dig into the motivations, the right discovers the guy had huge left wing sensibilities, but the left continues to run the right wing claim through the media.

And now Anders Breivik commits a massive horror. And he turns out to be non-Muslim, only later to be transformed into a right wing extremist because he uses Facebook. The guy isn’t even American and fails to map to our political party spectrum: but the Left declares him to be a Tea Party member. No? At least a Tea Party sympathizer. No? Well, then he wanted to start something like it. Incidentally, the Czar found examples of all three of these claims but like Dr. J refuses to link to these cites because frankly they don’t deserve your traffic.

Fortunately, Dana Loesch has a really good correction at Big Journalism that examines Breivik’s statements and discovers...yes he would, if anything, map to the Left.

What you, the reader, should remember is that Right Wing Extremism is incredibly rare. While it seems to consist of anyone who hates a government person or agency, or uses racism, religion or firearms, the reality is that Right Wing people are almost always conservatives—and conservatives tend not to take extremist actions (almost by definition). Conservatives preserve the establishment to some extent, and do not lash out in anger against it. Probably the only arguable examples of right wing extremism are the folks who kill or injure people in and around abortion clinics. These are people so committed to saving human lives (fetuses) that they elect to kill human lives (doctors, patients, employees, or just passers-by) to get that across. The total number of people killed or injured by these possible right-wing extremists in one year typically is a fraction of the number of people killed by a single Laughner, Breivik, or (ahem) abortionist.

The evidence for Right Wing Extremism is not merely weak, it is often self-contradictory to the concept. Now, this is hardly a pass for all unpleasant Right Wing behavior—the Czar is not merely doing the opposite and attributing all bad behavior to the Left, but let us be blunt: the Left pretty much owns this responsibility. And while the Czar is not biased enough to assume all liberals are violent people, he is willing to conclude that conservatives tend (by an inarguable majority) to be non-violent folks.

Conservatives tend to use the head, not the heart, when making decisions, or so liberals tell us. There is truth in this, and also in the reverse: liberals are more likely to act on impulse, rage, or a visceral feeling of frustration that needs to be handled by action: whether that is marching, shouting, screaming, vandalizing, or hurting others is up to their particular sensation of what they can best get away with. But let us end this fantasy-based narrative that right wing extremists are to blame for mass violence: as the Tea Party shows, the worst you should expect is a penchant for dressing up in 18th Century clothing and cleaning up a park. And there is, as it happens, a lot of evidence for that.

He Who Has Ears To Hear, Let Him Hear!

If you read only one piece on the hand-in-glove relationship between the debt ceiling crisis and out of control social program spending, let it be this editorial in today's Wall Street Journal.

Quoth the sages of Wall Street:


According to the most recent government data, today some 50.5 million Americans are on Medicaid, 46.5 million are on Medicare, 52 million on Social Security, five million on SSI, 7.5 million on unemployment insurance, and 44.6 million on food stamps and other nutrition programs. Some 24 million get the earned-income tax credit, a cash income supplement.

By 2010 such payments to individuals were 66% of the federal budget, up from 28% in 1965. (See the second chart.) We now spend $2.1 trillion a year on these redistribution programs, and the 75 million baby boomers are only starting to retire.
Hmm. Someone, just yesterday, was politely reminding all minions that we cannot solve our debt problem without addressing entitlement programs.

To borrow from our president, let 'Puter be clear. If the federal government did not borrow money, nearly every penny of the $2.2 trillion in tax revenues collected last year would go to cash handouts to individuals.

No money for defense. No money for roads. No money for education (regardless of whether it is a federal responsibility or not). No money for cancer research. No money for space. No money for regulators, whatever you think of them.

When stripped to its essentials, it is clear that our federal government has become nothing more than a giant wealth transfer scam, leaving the saps who are late to the Ponzi scheme holding the bill. That's you and me, dear reader.

And that is why we must -- must -- address spending.

Malluma tago

Borepatch (see sidebar) sends over a note commemorating yesterday’s sad anniversary.
This Day in Geek History: July 26

1887

The first book written in Esperanto, the international language invented by Ludwig Zamenhof, is published.
Yes, it’s been 124 years since that plague of a synthetic argot was loosed upon the world, promising universal understanding, homogeneity, and—we hate to break it to you—mind control. Not the good kind, like Mandy’s orbital mind-control lasers, but the bad kind where if you actually start speaking Esperanto full-time, your cerebral cortex is shaped into a configuration susceptible to the frequencies the Freemasons transmit from their hot-air balloons. Or whatever flying gizmos you kids have today. Confucius* has been pretty out of it of late, and honestly, when you were born in 551 B.C., the last couple centuries kind of run together. The Boer War was after the Crimean, right? Whatever.

We’re trying to run a time-and-history spanning conspiracy here, and we’re kind of understaffed. You’ll notice fricking Prince Tochmas and the Grand Moghul can’t be bothered to blog around here. Undercover infiltration of governments or complete sloth, you make the call, sport.

Get the sense that the Volgi is grouchy? Well, when you have a shedding yeti hogging all the a/c; the Czar & ’Puter’s latest five-digit tab from the Leaping Peacock; this parking ticket GorT brought back from 2742 A.D. Gaborone and this sentence of witchcraft from Nürnberg, 1004; the Mandarin wandering around mumbling semi-audibly about what sounds like needing to vaporize the pampas; and trying to convince Intetef-Te-Henqet that the new chambermaid is not his reincarnated lost love, so stop mooning after her and get on with the inventory of the arsenal and the dairy pantry, because I’m pretty damn sure ’Puter decided to get buttered up and go ’possum hunting with one or more of the punt guns—

But I digress.

So, yeah.

To review: Esperanto: making zombies since 1887. Volgi: looking for some Liao Drug because I’m not getting any less immortal.

Le Dauphin

You know, the Czar was around for the French Revolution. And when he reads Arthur Herman draw some eerie parallels like this:
Some people compare our current political turn, including the growth of the Tea Party, to the American Revolution. A far better comparison is with the French Revolution. Our ancien régime is tax-and-spend Washington, which Franklin D Roosevelt, Lyndon Johnson, and a host of lesser Sun Kings built and which the current dauphin Barack Obama wants to sustain. A corrupt bloated French monarchy sustained itself on the lie of divine right of kings, which made the king’s will law. Our Versailles sustains itself on a lie called baseline budgeting.
...well, it sends a chill down our spine.

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

On Death and Dying, Facebook Edition

Gentle Readers, Dr. J. was saddened by sudden and unexpected the passing of a childhood chum's father this week (who lives in a blue state North and East of New Atlantis). While an autopsy was not performed, it was pretty apparent that he most likely died from a fatal arrhythmia associated with a heart attack. Mrs. Dr. J. suggested a ruptured aneurysm could have been the cause. Nevertheless, it was swift and painless, which is how we all want to go, but we'd rather do it when we're 80, and not in our early 60's and still running marathons and checking off our to-do lists.

There were a few aspects of his passing related to social media that made Dr. J. reflect that go above and beyond the loss of this great gentleman.

First, is how Dr. J. found out about his death. Dr. J. was taking a quick Facebook break from working online and he was messaged by a colleague from work here in New Atlantis. The colleague asked Dr. J. if he knew this gentleman from the Northeast, as he saw that we shared this gentleman as a common friend. Dr. J. said, of course, but HOW DO YOU KNOW HIM?!?! The colleague informed me that he was a friend of the gentleman's girlfriend and she called him to tell him a few hours after the gentleman passed.

Dr. J. was struck by what a small world we live in that a colleague, whose sister happened to be a college classmate of Dr. J.'s is also connected to Dr. J. because his friend and Dr. J's friend's dad are a couple. Dr. J. would have expected to hear about his friend's father's death from the son, or a classmate, or via his friend posting something by social media, but NEVER by a random colleague from work.

Dr. J. was also struck with the tragedy of unanticipated sudden death. This gentleman who died's last post was a photo of a gourmet meal the day before and some fun commentary about it. Dr. J. saw and made note of it before finding out the news of his passing. Similarly, a year ago, Dr. J. had a college classmate pass away in a mountain climbing accident. Dr. J. noticed a couple of FB posts regarding his moving to a big square state out west, looking for someone to sit his dog and then a post about going after this specific mountain. In his case, the next thing Dr. J knew he noticed memorial posts being made a couple of days later on his feed.

Dr. J. is not alone in seeing and reflecting on this phenomenon, that is how life, and death are part of the social media fabric. Time magazine discussed it here. Forbes reflects on it here.

Dr. J found the juxtaposition of these individuals last post showing them very much alive, and living life to its fullest then suddenly followed by the legion of memorials as a stark reminder of how short, delicate and beautiful life is.

Big House, Small World

Back in the days before Gavin Newsom turned San Francisco into a dump totally unfriendly to tourists, the Czar and Царица were enjoying uncharacteristically hot weather. She had never been to San Francisco before, so the Czar was taking her on a tour of the place. We even spent the money to take the Alcatraz tour, which the Czar hadn’t done since December, 1937, (when it was a functioning prison) to drop off a cake to a couple of guys he knew.

While on the boat that takes you there, the Czar and Царица were admiring the gorgeous views, the sun burning off the morning fog, the Bay Bridge looming through the haze behind us, and a babble of languages from the many tourists around us.

Suddenly, a petite woman next to us screamed out a particularly shocking obscenity as loud as she could. Everyone stopped talking and stared at her. She grabbed the arm of the guy next to her and pointed at the water. A small seal was following the boat wake. “Voyez? she said.

Ah! The Czar laughed and turned to the people around him. “She’s French.” The Царица blinked. “The French word for seal is phoque,” we added, spelling it out.

Everyone sighed around us.

Remembering the Bosons

The wily nzc writes in to pick sides on the Fermilab vs. Large Hadron Collider race to find the Higgs boson. He adds:
I will pour out a forty for them if the LHC gets it first.

best,
nzc
Can’t show more respect than that.

If We Kill The Cow, No One Gets Any Milk

Unlikely as it seems, these words were spoken by Adam Urbanski, Rochester Teachers Association (union) president, in the context of difficult contract negotiations. It was an acknowledgment that a union cannot be so greedy that its employer can no longer afford to pay under the contract. Such greed is counterproductive for the union, and for the government and its taxpayers.

'Puter was thinking about this unexpected wisdom in the context of the current debt ceiling negotiations. He realized the debt and deficit problems cannot be permanently fixed, as a critical issue has not been addressed, and no one to 'Puter's knowledge is proposing to address it. The United States is taxing the snot out of the productive to subsidize the wholly unproductive, and in so doing is hamstringing the ability of the productive to produce enough to support the productive, let alone the unproductive.* We are killing the cow, and no one will get any milk.

And why must we discuss the tension between the productive and the nonproductive at all? Because in 2010, social safety net programs comprised fifty five percent (55%) of the federal budget. Further, in 2010, we spent $3.5 trillion, borrowing $1.3 trillion, or thirty seven percent (37%), of our expenditures. We are borrowing (increasing our national debt) primarily to pay for social safety net programs.

Our revenues do not currently match, and have not matched for a long time, our expenditures. And the single fastest growing segment of our outlays is social safety net programs. We are borrowing to subsidize today's nonproductive citizens, after exhausting the money of the productive we have taxed, which borrowed sums will have to be repaid by future productive citizens.

If you'd like to assume that all borrowed funds are used to pay for the non-social safety net programs, go ahead. But then you're left with very little additional money to do anything else, like fund defense, build roads or regulate polluters. And what little additional surplus would be left would quickly be eaten by the unchecked growth of social safety net programs over the next several years. That's why we must address this issue in any meaningful discussion of our national debt.

This is a touchy topic, and one into which 'Puter wades cautiously, lest readers misunderstand 'Puter's point. 'Puter is not talking about cutting off the aged, the infirm and the poor. 'Puter is talking about recalibrating the balance between the non-productive and the productive. As it currently stands, the benefits awarded to the nonproductive are threatening to swallow our future whole. The first person who writes to 'Puter claiming he's some kind of monster (for this post, not generally) who wants to kill grandma, the retarded and children is going to get an unpleasant 2:00 AM gutbooting from Mandy.

If the productive have a duty to the nonproductive to not let them exist in a horrid squalor, so to must the nonproductive have a reciprocal duty to the productive not to sentence them to indentured servitude to pay for benefits in excess of their needs. Note well 'Puter's use of the word need. Cable television, cell phones, microwaves, gaming systems, none of these are needs. Food, shelter, basic medical care are needs.

When 'Puter speaks of the nonproductive, he speaks simply in the economic sense. Generally, nonproductive citizens include, but are not limited to the elderly, the infirm, the disabled, the unemployed and the chronically, congenitally poor. Many of these groups overlap, requiring allocation of even more resources.

Our question must be twofold. First, what is the extent of the productive's duty to provide for the nonproductive? Second, in return for their sustenance free of charge, what is the scope of the nonproductive's duty to the productive?

It seems to 'Puter that the productive must provide basic human needs to the nonproductive, for so long as those people are unable for whatever reason to be productive. 'Puter believes the duty is greater to those who are permanently nonproductive through no fault of their own (e.g., the congenitally mentally and physically disabled). There is a lesser duty to those who, for example, have drunk or have drugged their way into nonproductivity. 'Puter would argue that there is only a limited duty to those who are willfully nonproductive, such as the able-bodied poor or the unemployed who will not take work that is beneath them.

Further, once the scope of the duty is defined, benefits levels can be debated. How nice a shelter must be provided? What level of medical treatment is required? What sorts of food ought we pay for? And again, the answer will vary by category of nonproductivity. We would want to provide an adult effected by Down Syndrome greater benefits than an adult with a heroin problem. Or even a 62.5 year old retired senior with above-poverty level retirement income.

The nonproductive likewise owe duties to the productive. The primary duties are: to use no more than you need and to get off the dole as soon as you are able. Compliance with these duties should be reassessed and enforced at least annually, if not more frequently, depending on the class of nonproductive citizen one is. If you can reasonably be expected to provide for yourself and your dependents, you should be required to do so. We have failed to cement this concept as the sine qua non of receiving taxpayer funded benefits.

To those who think it unfair for government to impose its will on its nonproductive dependents, 'Puter says bah. If nonproductive able dependents don't like it, better yourself somehow. Take a job, any job, and 'Puter is more than willing to meet you halfway. If you choose to do nothing, government should choose to give you nothing. The days of the free lunch (for the able) should be over.

It must be noted that progressive Democrats have over the last 70 years laid the groundwork for this crisis, through implementation of the New Deal and Great Society "social justice" programs. In setting up government to be the provider of last resort, rather than charities, government has driven charity to the margins. Where people get benefits from a faceless bureaucracy, rather than pastors and neighbors, they feel no reciprocal obligation not to overindulge. Hence, skyrocketing entitlement outlays currently, and for the foreseeable future. This severing of reciprocal obligation has been the greatest and most destructive unintended(?) consequence of government-as-sugar-daddy.

The question is not whether to provide taxpayer funded benefits at all to the nonproductive. It is rather the extent of benefits to be provided the nonproductive, balanced against the provision's effect on the economy, and by extension, the productive.

The discussion must be had, as uncomfortable as it is. If we do not, our trajectory towards looming insolvency will not change. If, after the discussion, we choose not to correct our course, at least the productive know a conscious choice has been made to bleed them dry, and they can plan accordingly.

*A subpart of this discussion not addressed here is whether subsidization of the productive is beneficial (e.g., business writeoffs, mortgage interest deductions, etc.) when weighed against simply leaving the productive alone.

Things Are Better, As Horrible As It Seems

Professor Mondo has a typically well-written post today regarding the cultural transition parents underwent in the last few decades of letting kids be kids and (over-)protecting them from strangers. The essay is tightly written, and the Czar's summary hardly does it justice, as he links together four topics in quick order; summarizing only one does the other three an injustice.

The Czar has often engaged others in debate on the safety of children; invariably, the discussion turns on whether the situation is better or worse. Lots of people believe things are worse, and their evidence is curious. The news is filled with stories of missing or abducted children, Amber alerts flood mobile devices and Twitter, and milk cartons and flyers document kids who vanished.

The Czar maintains that this evidence shows things are getting better: bad guys are not getting away with it. In fact, it takes very little effort to research the newspapers of old and find stories of missing and dead children; except, they would be a brief item in the local paper and no follow up ever seemed to occur. Sometimes, as the Professor notes, a case will be spectacular; everyone knows at least one: he recalls one that occured when he was nine that chilled his community and caused parents to start locking doors and keeping an eye on kids. In Chicago, this occurred in the mid-1950s with the Schussler-Peterson murders. Indeed, the more you study that case, the more you appreciate how modern the crime seems: remove the date, and the details sound like they came from today’s lurid newspapers.

What is different is the social realization that this keeps happening with predictably tragic consequences. This, as you recall, really happened with the Adam Walsh case in the 1980s: a story, so typical in its beginning, middle, and end that it would have disappeared into the annals of horrible crimes (simply because there was nothing unique about it) had it not been for his father’s outrage upon learning how common all the elements were. He started to call attention to it.

Prior to this, people would ignore or suppress stories like this, often in their rush to forget them. As you talk to doubters, you quickly learned that all of them recall some story from their childhood about a kid who vanished or disappeared. These things happened then—we also know at the same rate as today—but we choose to forget.

In short, things are not getting worse; they are being reported at accurate frequencies. But instead of forgetting about them, we continue to advertise faces and names. What’s more, we learned that the patterns are so common that they become predictable. We know the personality types, the modus operandi, and the compulsions of abductors and murderers. And, as the Professor notes, the Stranger Danger myth is not as terrifying as the uncle, the delivery guy, or the nice man down the block who are responsible for the majority of tragedies.

The question is not whether we over-protect our kids today, locking them in yards, maintaining adult supervision, using passwords when relatives pick them up from school, and putting invisible leashes on themthis is what we should have been doing centuries ago. The question is why it took us so long to admit the truth that there are, indeed, monsters out there.

The Anti-Tea Party Member Amendment

Dr. J. has been receiving daily emails from Congressman Jim Cooper (D-New Atlantis) updating him regarding the debt ceiling.

In his latest missive to the Doctor he included the following:

Stop Member Pay Act
My bill to end Congressional pay during a default will be introduced this week, and already other Members of Congress are joining as co-sponsors.

Now you may be saying to yourself, "Yea!, Go Coop, stick it to the man! Hold Congress's feet to the fire! Why should they get paid if we default?"

Well, things are not always what they seem in Washington. Many of our congressmen and senators are wealthy, especially on the Democratic side of the aisle.

When the new freshmen congressmen came to town there were articles here, and here describing them sleeping in their offices. While the articles romanticized the idea of not becoming 'part of Washington,' the reality is that Washington is expensive and having two homes is expensive. These guys aren't as wealthy as some of the career politicans, some of whom are trustafarians.

What this does is leverage pressure against the freshman, Tea-party, citizen legislators to vote expeditiously rather than on principle, because unlike the trustafarians, they can't afford not to.

Class warfare at its finest. Don't be fooled by this populist pablum, America.

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

Re: Pop, Pay, Please

'Puter tells his sons, aged 13 and (almost) 10, that they have four options when they graduate high school.

1. State school
2. Scholarship
3. Marine Corps
4. Priesthood

Other than that, they are on their own. 'Puter and Mrs. 'Puter will have done their jobs and deserve some down time.

College tuition funding problem solved. You're welcome.

Pop Before I Have to Pay, Please

With a hat tip to our friends at Small Dead Animals this chart is amazing:
Click thru and read the article.

Global Warming Guide

CN rather expertly contributes the following:
Most honorable Czar of Muscovy, who with a single effort of the pen of writing makes my most eloquent efforts seem but the ramblings of the unschooled child, it was my humble pleasure to treat my eyes to the greatness that is your recent article on global warming.

For your convenience, I’ve prepared a handy-dandy guide to convince global warming skeptics that you are right and they are poopyheads; global warming is screwing up the world:


































































The Global Warmist's Handy Guide To Discussing The Environment

If Conditions Are...You Say...
Hot"Global Warming... Q.E.D.!"
Cold"Climate does not equal weather!"
Extremely Cold"Global warming is playing a role by shifting weather patterns in unpredictable ways!"
Dry"Climate models also project changes in the distribution and timing of rainfall. The combination of a decrease in summer rainfall and increased evaporation will lead to more severe and longer-lasting droughts."
Wet"In a warmer world, more water evaporates from the ocean and more precipitation falls!"
Blizzard"As the climate warms overall, the atmosphere can hold more moisture, which can lead to more precipitation--falling as snow in places like Siberia that remain relatively cold. All that Siberian snow creates a dome of cold air near the mountains, which bends the passing jet stream. Instead of flowing west to east, the jet stream moves in a more north to south fashion, carrying cold air south from the Arctic in the eastern US and in Europe."
Tornado"Warming trends create more of the fuel that tornadoes require, like moisture."
Hurricane"Of course when the oceans get warmer that causes stronger storms!"
No Hurricanes"Global warming causes El Nino to intensify, which increases the vertical wind shear across the tropical Atlantic. The inreased wind shear greatly reduces Atlantic basin hurricane activity."
Flooding"Warm air holds more moisture, making outbreaks of heavy rainfall more frequent!"
Glaciers Receding"Global causes glaciers to melt!
Glaciers Growing"Silly denier, all glaciers are shrinking!"
Sea Level Rising"Global warming causes the glaciers to melt, increasing sea levels!"
Sea Level Retreating"Increase in precipitation over cold areas leads to more water being trapped as ice!"
Fire"Global warming causes warmer summer temperatures, earlier arrival of spring, and earlier snowmelts, leading to more fires!"
Earthquake"Research suggests that glaciers become stuck to the ice next to them and pressure accumulates along their edges, until they slip forward a few inches at a time. These massive lurches forward produce earthquakes of up to 7 magnitude on the Richter schale. As glaciers melt, they move faster, so we can expect more and more earthquakes."
Volcano"A thaw of Iceland's ice caps in coming decades caused by climate change may trigger more volcanic eruptions by removing a vast weight and freeing magma from deep below ground."
Unexpected"Given that global warming is unequivocal, the null hypothesis should be that all weather events are affected by global warming rather than the inane statements along the lines of ‘of course we cannot attribute any particular weather event to global warming.'"

Those Naughty Photons

Wow, we have the smartest readers in the world. Thank goodness you readers wind up writing half the stuff on here. Check this bad boy out from NR:
Dread Czar,

Nice post on the Higgs - much better than most of the news coverage I've seen so far. Thought I ought to clarify one thing though. Photons actually are massless - when you mentioned radiation pressure from a laser, that happens because photons can still carry momentum. In special relativity, momentum isn't the usual mass*velocity they teach in high school - in fact, for a massless particle, the momentum has the same magnitude as the total energy (Planck's constant*frequency), since there's no rest mass (provided you're using natural units, where c=1).

Keep on Gormogonin,'
See? How cool is that? And thanks for the clarification on radiation pressure. The Czar is smarter now, but to be fair, when he learned physics, it was from a Tatar shaman who was always trying to cure everything with vodka. As kids, we were sick a lot.

NYT's Editors' Appeal To Faith

In today's gripping installment of "How Do These Guys Even Have Jobs Anymore?", the New York Times editorial board appeals to its readers' faith.

To be certain, not faith in God, because that's for uneducated, gun-owning hicks. Rather, the NYT depends upon its readers' faith in the infallibility of Barack Obama and Democrats on all matters great and small.

You see, Republicans are the only ones to blame for the current debt ceiling standoff. It could not be Our President or Democrats, as they are all good and deserving of all our love. At least, in keeping with the Church of the One, True Elite-Approved Faith.

An irrational faith in an easily disprovable thesis (the supposed correctness and superiority of Leftist doctrine) is the only explanation for the howlers contained within the editorial.

Let's begin, shall we?


They [House Republicans] have warped an exercise in paying off current debt into an argument about future spending. Yet, when they win another concession, they walk away.
Nope. First, paying off the debt and future spending are inextricably linked. If we pay off or down the debt, there is less money available for future spending. Unless, of course we borrow more, which leads us right back to surging debt and the need to cut spending. Second, it is disingenuous (or an outright lie) to say we are talking about paying off anything. We are talking about paying interest on current debt, bonding off deficit spending and rolling over (not paying off) extant debt. To claim otherwise shows a profound lack of understanding.


This increasingly reckless game has pushed the nation to the brink of ruinous default. The Republicans have dimmed the futures of millions of jobless Americans, whose hopes for work grow more out of reach as government job programs are cut and interest rates begin to rise. They have made the federal government a laughingstock around the globe.
False. A fanatical, quasi-religious belief in Keynesian stimulus has led us to the brink of ruinous default. We have borrowed over $14.3 TRILLION, much of it after Mr. Obama's election, to finance current wishes with future dollars. In order to pay for the government's seeming limitless tax dollar jones, the 49% of Americans who actually pay taxes know that they are going to get shafted. Who in their right mind is going to hire anyone when taxes, health care and the economy are so uncertain? Fix the debt issue by meaningfully reducing spending, and jobs will almost certainly follow.


“How can we ask a student to pay more for college before we ask hedge fund managers to stop paying taxes at a lower rate than their secretaries?” he said, invoking Ronald Reagan’s effort to make everyone pay a fair share and pointing out that his immediate predecessors had to ask for debt-ceiling increases under rules invented by Congress. He urged viewers to demand compromise. “The entire world is watching,” he said.
This is class warfare rhetoric at its most offensive. We can ask students to pay more for college because they are on welfare. Taking government money to pay tuition is no less on the dole than getting food stamps. Middle class welfare is simply more societally acceptable. We don't get welfare; that's for the dirty poor. We're middle class. Who don't pay taxes, but that's another column.

We can ask Social Security recipients and Medicare/Medicaid recipients to shoulder their fair share of the burden because they are wards of the state. Has no one heard the old adage "beggars can't be choosers," or has the notion become passe? If 'Puter hears one more senior or near-senior bitch and moan about having paid into Social Security and Medicare, and dammit, they're going to get every penny out of it they put in, 'Puter is going to punch him. Fine. 'Puter is all in favor of cutting you a check in the full amount of your Social Security and Medicare contributions over the course of your career, and you get benefits from neither program. It's far cheaper in the long run. Otherwise, sit down and shut the heck up, oldster, because unlike 'Puter's generation, you're going to get something.

And, not for nothing, if 'Puter were White House chief of staff, he'd sucker punch the speech writer (probably this 12 year old knucklehead from Holy Cross ('Puter's alma mater)) who decided to use a variant of "the whole world is watching" in a nationally televised speech. Folks slightly older than 'Puter remember the 1968 Democratic National Convention in Chicago where the dirty, lazy, spoiled Boomer hippies showed up, misbehaved and got (correctly, in 'Puter's opinion) beaten down for inciting a riot by the Chicago Police Department. While the CPD was going about its job, the hippies with the knack of Sen. Chuck Schumer, found the press cameras and started chanting "the whole world is watching." Many recall that slogan as emblematic of a time where the New Left and its minions in the press ('Puter's looking at you, NYT) set about destroying the values and institutions that made America great. Now, the fruit of their dark labors sits in the White House, complaining about the lack of values and institutions his fellow travelers knowingly destroyed. Reap the whirlwind.

The editorial goes on through several more paragraphs blaming Republicans for all that is wrong with America. Republicans won't take yes for an answer. Republicans are irrational. Republicans are gambling with American prosperity. Only the One, True President can save us now. How can you not accept his manifest wisdom?

The NYT's fatal error in this editorial is mistaking a symptom for a cause. The debt ceiling is not a cause of our trouble, it is a symptom. We should certainly be able to roll over and pay for $14.3 trillion in existing debt, provided we weren't talking about borrowing nearly a third (or more) of our outlays going forward over the next decade. The cause is overspending. Speaker Boehner got this exactly right last night. We can't continue to spend more than we take in year in and year out.

Again, the only rational explanation for the NYT's editors' continued failure to face facts is an irrational belief in a false Messiah, whether the False Messiah be Keynesian economics, President Obama or the Welfare State.

There are none so blind as those that will not see.

The Deal is Done!

No, not that deal - the NFL Lockout has ended and your Gormogons have been remiss in discussing it.  Here is GorT's take:

Simply put this lockout was about two things: greed and health.  The NFL is a $9B+ industry.  The revenues are roughly split down the middle - in the past, the players got a bit more than half (52%) and now they'll get a little less than half (not below 47%).  But the fight was largely over how to split that big pile of money.  The side topic was a player health issue - number of games, workouts, and long term care.

As for winners and losers in the deal (as all the pundits and sports talk folks are wont to do):

Players - winners. They lost a bit of their share of the revenue pot but gained a minimum salary expenditure of 89% (in the total package, it looks like it might vary year to year trending down to 89%).  Training camps will start later, no two-a-days with full pads, and the number of OTAs (Other Team Activities) are cut from 14 to 10.  Really this helps all players, but overall the veterans came out well.  Each player gets some enhanced injury protection money as part of their contracts.  Also, no 18-game season.  We stay at the 16-4 (16 regular season, 4 pre-season) game schedule.  Players didn't want the wear and tear of 2 more regular season games.

Owners - winners.  Maybe even edging out the players overall...but only slightly.  They gained more revenue and could see a benefit from the reduced wear and tear on players going into each season and gave up very little.  The latter will be interesting to watch over the next few seasons and see if player injuries are reduced and therefore more starters are able to play more minutes of the season.  They also lost their share of 2 more games in the season, but that was an easy item to give up.

Roger Goodell and DeMaurice Smith - winners.  After all the smoke settled, they each represented their members well and were able to work towards solving the lockout without a damaging loss of the real football season.  While it would be harder to lose fans than what happened years ago with baseball, the loss of regular season football games would have tarnished the league and these two gentlemen.

Rookies / First Round Draft Picks - losers.  The new deal will restrict rookie salaries and teams can lock them up to the point of their first real big money deals might not happen until their fifth year.  This may prove to be the biggest downside of the deal.  Those rookie players will have to stay healthy and productive in order to really seal those deals in year five.  Not easy to do over 64+ games.

Agents - losers.  Overall.  The lower rookie salaries will drive down their revenue.  In addition, they are going to be worked to the bone here in the next few weeks as teams scramble to resign and reassemble their teams.

I, for one, am glad to see it back.  It's my number one go to sport to watch even though, painfully, I am a lifelong Washington Redskin fan.  I'm ramping up the fantasy football league that I run and looking forward to another season of taunts and the ups and downs of that.

Paging Mr. Higgs Boson...Your Party Is Here

All right, enough. The media is already all over the road like a drunk driver with this Higgs Boson particle. Proof of parallel universes? Time travel? The God Particle? Give us a break. Actually, here is a hint. If the press story mentions anything about a God Particle, stop reading it.

Because there are two stories out there now: they may have found it, or (more accurately) they know many places it cannot hide, meaning there is a strong probability of confirmation in one of the remaining places.

Presently, two major laboratories (Fermilab, outside Chicago, and the Large Hadron Collider in Switzerland) are locked in a tight race to be the first to find the Higgs Boson particle.

But what the foxtrot is it?

Quantum mechanics reduced the various forces in the universe down to four common types: gravity, the strong nuclear force (which holds atom nuclei together), the weak nuclear force (which causes radioactive isotopes to decay), and the electromagnetic force. The last one is interesting, because they were two separate forces until 1873 when Maxwell proved them to be one and the same.

This worked pretty well, but suspicious physicists realized in 1983 that the weak nuclear force could also be part of the electromagnetic force if temperatures are hot enough. Specifically, the three forces could be seen as an interplay between three subatomic particles: the photon, the W particle, and the Z particle. Everything can be explained by some arrangement of these three particles...except for one weird thing.

The W and Z particles are very massive, where as the more simple photon is effectively massless (most calculations treat its mass as zero, but in fact photons do have nearly negligible mass: lasers, for example, can be used to push spacecraft through a vacuum due to the combined mass of photons hitting the ship). So if everything at a high enough temperature treats the massive W and massive Z particles and the nearly massless photons as the same, where does the mass come from? Sort of like taking three identical pieces of hot dough, and when they cool, two of them form huge loaves of bread while the third stays small. Where did the extra dough come from?

Only one explanation kept coming through from the math: there has to be another subatomic particle out there, the Higgs boson, that interacts at a critical temperature point to contribute mass to the W and Z particles. If so, where the hell is it? No one has ever seen a Higgs boson.

However, there were some possible temperatures at which it could probably operate. And little by little, Fermilab and the LHC have been eliminating possible temperatures. One of two possible outcomes remain: they will either see it at a certain temperature, confirming its existence, or they will not see it at all. And if the latter happens, we evidently know jack about physics: a lot will need to be rewritten.

On the other hand, if they see the Higgs boson, they know that W and Z particles can work with photons as expected, and a monstrous chunk of quantum mechanics becomes “simpler” to work with.

For one thing, with electroweak confirmed, it gives physics a solid footing to extend promising work on quantum chromodynamics. This interesting area of physics looks to merge the strong force into the electroweak force (QCD-electroweak interaction).

So the Higgs Boson is a big deal. But as always, the real story is much more interesting than the sci fi flying out the anuses of the popular media.

Obama's Bane: GOP Can Sermonize Better

Overall, the Boehner rebuttal was really good, not just in content, but in psychology. The President will likely give less of his incessant lecture hall jeremiads if the GOP continually goes on television right after him and disproves his every claim.

Content-wise, Speaker Boehner said some things that needed to be said. For one thing, he explained to any last-minute doubters out there that the GOP ardently does not want default. Not that the average American believes they do—but this is a stern reminder to so-called independent voters that the liberal talk show circuit is dead wrong when they say otherwise.

Another good idea was the time-line, going back to the President’s election, and how he has continually demanded things Americans do not want, and has continuously spent an unimaginable amount of money with nothing to show for it. And that he has spent enough. He isn’t getting anymore.

And then the Speaker was smart to offer a parallel time-line, in which he showed the numerous GOP (and Democratic) attempts to fix the problem either in baby steps or wholesale, and how the President stubbornly refused to do anything right. A good compare and contrast, there.

A great summation to the equation was his comment “You see, there is no stalemate in Congress. The House has passed a bill to raise the debt limit with bipartisan support. And this week, while the Senate is struggling to pass a bill filled with phony accounting and Washington gimmicks, we will pass another bill – one that was developed with the support of the bipartisan leadership of the U.S. Senate.” Very smart—the President has continually acted irresponsibly, both Republicans and Democrats have worked out solutions that he refuses to accept, and we had no choice but to do an end run and get something going. This leaves the next step in the syllogism—the President therefore continues to be the only problem—up to us to make.

Reducing the problem to household economics (“The sad truth is that the president wanted a blank check six months ago, and he wants a blank check today.”) is a great idea. The press has had a field day over-complicating the debt ceiling issue. Reducing it, correctly, to common analogies is long overdue from the GOP. He made references to living within our means, just as you do at home. This point could have been hammered home even more so, and he had the opportunity to do so but evidently wanted to understate it a bit. The Czar would say If you run up your credit card past your ability to pay it, you know you are in trouble. And you know that spending even more past that only buries you deeper into trouble. This is no different. But explaining how the President kept ignoring the facts, changing his mind and his demands, and stonewalling progress to score political points was just what voters and Wall Street needs to hear.

The Czar is a little uncertain with the Speaker referencing late-night comedians as the only beneficiaries of the stimulus. For one thing, it mocks too openly. For another, most of the late night comedians are in the bag for Obama, so it isn’t even true.

And, finally, the Czar thinks that references to Speaker Boehner’s overly humble roots (“I ran a small business in Ohio...Having run a small business...”) are starting to sound a little hollow. It is just as unpleasant as when the used car salesman puts his arm around your shoulder to turn you toward the pictures of his starving kids on his desk. Yeah, it really fails to work as well as the 101 classes suggest. Stick to the math, not the personal handshakes to the working man.

Overall, this was a very successful speech. And again, it is not just the content of the speech that was necessary, but more so the notion that everytime the President addresses the nation, a point-by-point clock-cleaning is forthcoming.